Tuesday, December 15, 2009

NBA Power Rankings- December 14th

 

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERS

1)    LA Lakers (18-4)- (W-UTA, MIN; L-UTA) Last: 1

2)    Boston (19-4)- (W-MIL, WAS, CHI) Last: 3

3)    Cleveland (17-7)- (W-POR, OKC; L-MEM, HOU) Last: 2

4)    Orlando (17-6)- (W-LAC; L-UTA, PHO) Last: 4

5)    Atlanta (17-6)- (W-CHI, TOR, NJN) Last: 6

6)    Denver (17-7)- (W-PHI, PHO; L-CHA, DET) Last: 5

PLAYOFF POSITION

7)    Dallas (17-7)- (W-PHO, MIA, CHA) Last: 8

8)    Phoenix (16-8)- (W-ORL; L-DAL, DEN) Last: 7

9)    Utah (14-9)- (W-SAS, ORL, LAL; L-LAL) Last: 11

10) San Antonio (12-9)- (W-SAC, CHA, LAC; L-UTA) Last: 12

11) Houston (13-10)- (W-CLE, PHI; L-TOR) Last: 13

12) Portland (14-11)- (W- IND; L-NYK, CLE, MIL) Last: 9

13) Oklahoma City (12-10)- (W-GSW, MEM; L-CLE) Last: 14

14) Miami (11-11)- (L-DAL, MEM) Last: 10

SERIOUS STRUGGLES

15) Toronto (11-15)- (W-MIN, HOU; L-MIL, ATL) Last: 15

16) Sacramento (10-12)- (W-MIN; L-NOH, SAS) Last: 16

17) Milwaukee (11-11)- (W-TOR, POR; L-BOS) Last: 21

18) Detroit (11-12)- (W-PHI, DEN, GSW) Last: 23

19) New Orleans (10-12)- (W-SAC, MIN; L-NYK) Last: 17

20) LA Clippers (9-13)- (L-ORL, SAS) Last: 18

21) Memphis (10-13)- (W-CLE, MIA; L-OKC) Last: 24

22) Charlotte (9-13)- (W-DEN; L-SAS, DAL) Last: 20

23) New York (8-15)- (W-POR, NOH) Last: 25

24) Washington (7-14)- (L-BOS, IND) Last: 19

25) Chicago (8-14)- (W-GSW; L-NJN, ATL, BOS) Last: 22

26) Indiana (8-13)- (W-NJN, WAS; L-POR) Last: 27

27) Golden State (7-16)- (W-NJN; L-OKC, CHI, DET) Last: 26

28) Philadelphia (5-18)- (L-DEN, DET, HOU) Last: 28

29) Minnesota (3-21)- (L-TOR, NOH, LAL, SAC) Last: 29

30) New Jersey (2-22)- (W-CHI; L-GSW, IND, ATL) Last: 30

NBA Analytics- December 11th

The following rankings determine the most effective and most consistent players on each NBA team.  Only players appearing in 50% of their team's games are eligible.  Effectiveness is measured using the mean of the player's fantasy value, calculated by ESPN's formula [Pts + Reb + 1.4*Ast + Stl + 1.4*Blk -.7*TO + FGM + .5*TGM -.8*(FGA-FGM) + .25*FTM - .8*(FTA-FTM)] and consistency is measured by the standard deviation of the player's ESPN values divided by the mean.

 

Eastern Conference

 

Atlantic Division

 

Boston Celtics:

Best Player: Paul Pierce-31.01

Most Consistent Player: Rajon Rondo-.25

Most Inconsistent Player: Lester Hudson- 2.28

 

New Jersey Nets:

Best Player: Brook Lopez-34.34

Most Consistent Player: Devin Harris-.27

Most Inconsistent Player: Sean Williams-.94

 

New York Knicks:

Best Player: David Lee-34.93

Most Consistent Player: Lee-.30

Most Inconsistent Player: Toney Douglas-1.01

 

Philadelphia 76ers:

Best Player: Andre Iguodala-35.35

Most Consistent Player: Iguodala-.28

Most Inconsistent Player: Jason Kapono-1.05

 

Toronto Raptors:

Best Player: Chris Bosh-41.09

Most Consistent Player: Bosh-.29

Most Inconsistent Player: Sonny Weems-1.10

 

Southeast Division

 

Atlanta Hawks:

Best Player: Josh Smith-33.78

Most Consistent Player: Al Horford-.32

Most Inconsistent Player: Jeff Teague-1.20

 

Charlotte Bobcats:

Best Player: Gerald Wallace-30.55

Most Consistent Player: Stephen Jackson-.35

Most Inconsistent Player: Gerald Henderson-1.32

 

Miami Heat:

Best Player: Dwyane Wade-42.08

Most Consistent Player: Wade-.26

Most Inconsistent Player: Dorell Wright-1.26

 

Orlando Magic:

Best Player: Dwight Howard-35.99

Most Consistent Player: Vince Carter-.30

Most Inconsistent Player: Anthony Johnson-1.06

 

Washington Wizards:

Best Player: Antawn Jamison-32.04

Most Consistent Player: Caron Butler-.28

Most Inconsistent Player: Dominic McGuire- 1.47

 

Central Division

 

Chicago Bulls:

Best Player: Luol Deng-29.91

Most Consistent Player: Joakim Noah-.35

Most Inconsistent Player: Lindsey Hunter-1.59

 

Cleveland Cavaliers:

Best Player: LeBron James-48.80

Most Consistent Player: James-.23

Most Inconsistent Player: Darnell Jackson-1.92

 

Detroit Pistons:

Best Player: Rodney Stuckey-28.90

Most Consistent Player: Stuckey-.30

Most Inconsistent Player: Austin Daye-.83

 

Indiana Pacers:

Best Player: Danny Granger-36.02

Most Consistent Player: Granger-.34

Most Inconsistent Player: Jeff Foster-.81

 

Milwaukee Bucks:

Best Player: Brandon Jennings-32.83

Most Consistent Player: Jennings-.44

Most Inconsistent Player: Roko Ukic-1.60

 

 

 

 

Western Conference

 

Southwest Division

 

Dallas Mavericks:

Best Player: Dirk Nowitzki-44.05

Most Consistent Player: Nowitzki, Shawn Marion-.28

Most Inconsistent Player: James Singleton-1.17

 

Houston Rockets:

Best Player: Trevor Ariza-28.67

Most Consistent Player: Ariza-.37

Most Inconsistent Player: David Anderson-.88

 

Memphis Grizzlies:

Best Player: Zach Randolph-33.21

Most Consistent Player: Rudy Gay-.29

Most Inconsistent Player: Marcus Williams-1.00

 

New Orleans Hornets:

Best Player: Chris Paul-44.69

Most Consistent Player: Paul-.31

Most Inconsistent Player: Julian Wright-.99

 

San Antonio Spurs:

Best Player: Tim Duncan-38.98

Most Consistent Player: Duncan-.26

Most Inconsistent Player: Keith Bogans-.85

 

Northwest Division

 

Denver Nuggets:

Best Players: Carmelo Anthony-42.72

Most Consistent Player: Anthony, Nene Hilario-.33

Most Inconsistent Player: Malik Allen-1.33

 

Minnesota Timberwolves:

Best Player: Al Jefferson-28.74

Most Consistent Player: Jefferson-.32

Most Inconsistent Player: Brian Cardinal-1.18

 

Oklahoma City Thunder:

Best Player: Kevin Durant- 42.53

Most Consistent Player: Durant-.32

Most Inconsistent Player: Serge Ibaka-1.01

 

Portland Trial Blazers:

Best Player: Brandon Roy-33.03

Most Consistent Player: Roy-.32

Most Inconsistent Player: Juwan Howard-1.27

 

Utah Jazz:

Best Player: Carlos Boozer-39.84

Most Consistent Player: Deron Williams-.28

Most Inconsistent Player: Kosta Koufos-1.60

 

Pacific Division

 

Golden State Warriors:

Best Player: Monta Ellis-36.83

Most Consistent Player: Ellis-.36

Most Inconsistent Player: C.J. Watson-.78

 

Los Angeles Clippers:

Best Player: Chris Kaman-30.98

Most Consistent Player: Kaman, Baron Davis-.37

Most Inconsistent Player: Steve Novak-2.26

 

Los Angeles Lakers:

Best Player: Kobe Bryant-43.84

Most Consistent Player: Bryant-.30

Most Inconsistent Player: D.J. Mbenga-1.48

 

Phoenix Suns:

Best Player: Steve Nash-36.57

Most Consistent Player: Nash-.28

Most Inconsistent Player: Jarron Collins-1.93

 

Sacramento Kings:

Best Player: Tyreke Evans-32.92

Most Consistent Player: Jason Thompson-.36

Most Inconsistent Player: Donte Greene-.96

Wednesday, December 9, 2009

2010 NBA Mock Draft (Version 5)

1)    New Jersey Nets- John Wall- PG (Kentucky)

 

I still think Derrick Favors will be a possibility here because he is a much better fit for this franchise, but Wall's talent is too much to pass up.  Devin Harris is a good young player, who still has a lot of room to grow, but Wall has all the makings of a superstar.  He has good size (at 6'4") and tons of athleticism. In the early season's premier matchup of NBA talent on Saturday, Wall looked to be in a league of his own against the Tar Heels.  He pushed the issue at times and had some turnover problems, but had two highlight reel baskets in transition in the opening minutes and his Wildcats escaped with a win.

 

2)    Minnesota Timberwolves- Derrick Favors- PF (Georgia Tech)

 

Minnesota badly needs a perimeter scoring option, but David Kahn showed in his first draft with the team that he'd put value and ability above team need, especially in the top five.  Favors is a freak athlete with an NBA body (6'10" and 246 lbs), who will be a defensive presence from day one.  He is still young, but learning from an NBA great like Kurt Rambis could do him a world of good, and a frontcourt rotation of Al Jefferson, Kevin Love, and Favors would make Jonny Flynn and Ricky Rubio look very, very good.

 

3)    Philadelphia 76ers- Wesley Johnson- SG (Syracuse)

 

Johnson has made a meteoric rise up draft boards over the first few weeks of the season.  He is a gifted athlete with good size and a versatile skill set.  He has proven to be an above average defender, but his real value (at least to the 76ers) is his outside shooting ability.  This draft class is stocked with talented big men and athletic slashers, but few shooters as talented as Johnson.

 

4)    Indiana Pacers- Willie Warren- PG (Oklahoma)

 

Indiana has a nice thing going with Danny Granger and Troy Murphy, and the emergences of Dahntay Jones and Roy Hibbert, but they still have huge holes in their backcourt.  The jury is still out on whether Warren can run the point for an NBA team, but the Pacers could use his penetration and scoring ability at either guard spot.

 

5)    Golden State Warriors- Devin Ebanks- SF (West Virginia)

 

The personal problems that kept Ebanks on the sidelines for the start of the season seem to have abated, which has the talented sophomore forward moving back up draft boards.  Ebanks is long and athletic with good court vision, and could develop into a really promising player at the next level.  The Warriors have a stocked backcourt, and little desire for true big men, so Ebanks is a nice fit for their current system.

 

6)    Utah Jazz (from New York via Phoenix)- Xavier Henry- SG (Kansas)

 

Henry made a huge splash, scoring 27 points in his first college game, and will likely be the third first-year player drafted (behind Wall and Favors) if he decides to enter his name.  His size (6'6" and 220 lbs) may allow him to play multiple positions in the NBA, providing Utah with much needed flexibility on the perimeter.  He has been a consistent scorer (17 points per game on 53% from the field) and a legitimate deep threat (50% from 3-point range), which would be a nice complement to the defensive minded options (Ronnie Brewer and Andrei Kirilenko) on Utah's roster.

 

7)    Memphis Grizzlies- Donatas Motiejunas- PF (Lithuania)

 

In a somewhat curious cost-cutting maneuver, Memphis consolidated their scouting department down to just one overseas scout during the off-season.  Motiejunas is by far the best international prospect available, and fits pretty nicely into the Grizzlies' re-building plans.  A true center like Cole Aldrich, or an athletic wingman to replace Rudy Gay (Evan Turner or Al-Farouq Aminu) is a possibility as well, but Motiejunas has a ton of upside and is worth a bit of a gamble at #7, especially since Memphis has three first round picks in 2010.

 

8)    Detroit Pistons- Cole Aldrich- C (Kansas)

 

This is the dream scenario for the Pistons, who are stocked on the perimeter with Rodney Stuckey, Richard Hamilton, Ben Gordon, and Will Bynum in the backcourt and two rookies backing up Tayshaun Prince at the small forward.  They also have a face up shooter and a below average rebounder at power forward in Charlie Villanueva, making Aldrich's post moves and rebounding acumen a great fit.

 

9)    Chicago Bulls- Evan Turner- SG/SF (Ohio State)

 

Turner's back injury will surely hurt his draft stock, but early indications are that he'll be able to play again in two months or so, which should be enough time for him show scouts that the injury is behind him.  He is a fantastic athlete with a wide variety of skills, and plays at a need position for the Bulls.  He isn't a great outside shooter at this point, which may give Chicago pause, but his all-around skills are too much to pass up.

 

10) Milwaukee Bucks- Ed Davis- PF (North Carolina)

 

I've never been high on Davis and watching North Carolina's loss to Kentucky didn't do much to shake my impressions.  Davis floats around the perimeter far too much offensively and often looks lost after showing a double team.  He does have flashes of brilliance, but seems to take plays off.  With all of that said, Davis is still a young player and his game will likely mature along with him.  Milwaukee took a risk and scored big in the 2009 draft with Brandon Jennings, so I wouldn't be surprised to see them gamble again at #10.

 

11) Los Angeles Clippers- Al-Farouq Aminu- SF (Wake Forest)

 

Aminu looks and plays awkwardly, leading many scouts to deem him a long-term project.  Personally, I find Aminu's ability to contribute while he learns to be astounding.  Before all is said and done, he'll likely challenge for an All-American slot.  He may need some seasoning, but all the tools are there, and he'd be a great value at #11.

 

12) New Orleans Hornets- Paul George- SF (Fresno State)

 

New Orleans could really use an infusion of youth and athleticism on the perimeter, and George is a great fit.  He doesn't have a great outside shot, but he has good size and slashing ability.  He can also get to the rim at will and has been very impressive converting opportunities at the free throw line.

 

13) Sacramento Kings- Greg Monroe- PF (Georgetown)

 

Monroe is possibly the most polarizing prospect in this class, he has all the tools to be a great NBA player, but simply hasn't put them to use in his first year plus at Georgetown.  He exploded for 24 points and 15 rebounds against an undersized Butler team on Tuesday, but mismatches like that will be few and far between at the next level.  Sacramento could use a franchise small forward, but Omri Casspi has done a nice job thus far and with George, Aminu, Turner, Ebanks, and Johnson all off the board, they'll take the best player available and hope to hit a homerun.

 

14) Oklahoma City Thunder- Solomon Alabi- C (Florida State)

 

Alabi has been solid, but unimpressive so far this season, but he has great size (7'1") and a surprising free throw stroke (90%).  He is definitely a project, as are most players of his size, but Oklahoma City needs help at the center position and after Aldrich, Alabi is the best available option.

 

15) Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte via Denver)- James Anderson- SG (Oklahoma City)

 

Minnesota grabbed Favors at number two to sure up their long-term frontcourt rotation, but they still need a lot of help on the perimeter.  With a wealth of cap space and (up to) three first-rounders to dangle, a big name trade could be a possibility for the Timberwolves, but if they stay at #15, Anderson's scoring ability and jump shot would make him a solid asset.

 

16) Washington Wizards- Jarvis Varnado- PF (Mississippi State)

 

For as bad as the Wizards have been, they find themselves right in the thick of the playoff race in the East, thanks to a 2-2 week and the ongoing decay of their conference.  Making a playoff run makes a much-discussed trade less likely, and a defensive-minded big man would be the best fit with the current cast of characters.  Varnado is hands down the best shot blocker in the country, which would make him a good fit on Washington's interior.

 

17) Miami Heat (from Toronto)- DeMarcus Cousins- PF (Kentucky)

 

Miami may be the biggest mover in the upcoming off-season.  All of that uncertainty makes drafting for team need out of the question.  Cousins is the best player on the board at #17 because of his potential and his offensive skills.  He definitely needs some seasoning, but he could turn into a very good NBA player, and would be a valuable trade chip sooner rather than later.

 

18) Houston Rockets- Jerome Jordan- C (Tulsa)

 

Houston has some good things going.  They have a solid twosome at point guard (Aaron Brooks and Kyle Lowry), a strong perimeter rotation (Trevor Ariza, Shane Battier, Chase Budinger), and a surplus at power forward (Luis Scola, Carl Landry, Chuck Hayes, David Andersen).  They also have two huge question marks in injured stars Tracy McGrady and Yao Ming.  McGrady will almost certainly be gone next season, and Yao's availability is still very much up in the air.  Even if Yao is healthy, keeping him that way is a huge concern, and having a true 7-footer like Jordan to spell him would do wonders for Yao's feet and knees.

 

19) San Antonio Spurs- Quincy Pondexter- SF (Washington)

 

Pondexter seems to be the type of fundamental, do-it-all player that Greg Popovich loves.  He may not have the athleticism of Richard Jefferson or many of the other small forwards in this class, but he is an all-around basketball player who could fit in with the Spurs in the long-term.

 

20) Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah)- Jan Vesely- SF/PF (Czech Republic)

 

Vesely has great size (6'11") and could play multiple positions for Minnesota.  Most importantly, though, Vesely could be stashed in Europe for another year or two, which would clear up a roster spot for the very young Timberwolves.

 

21) Miami Heat- Terrico White- SG (Mississippi)

 

Miami continues to grab the best players available, adding White, the SEC's reigning freshman of the year to their mix.  He has struggled some as a sophomore, but can score in bunches and would take some of the pressure off of Dwyane Wade in the Miami backcourt.

 

22) Portland Trail Blazers- Craig Brackins- PF (Iowa State)

 

Most people in basketball circles expect a trade of Andre Miller to come sooner rather than later, and a resulting move could have a big impact on this pick.  Portland is stocked with talent and is looking for depth.  A foreign player like Vesely or Alexey Shved is very possible here as well, but Brackins is by far the best player available.

 

23) New Jersey Nets (from Dallas)- Larry Sanders- PF/C (Virginia Commonwealth)

 

The Nets could use a defensive presence on the interior, and if they pass on Favors at the top, Sanders would be a good consolation prize at the end of the first round.

 

24) Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix)- Kemba Walker- PG (Connecticut)

 

For all of Oklahoma City's strides in the past few drafts, they find themselves very thin at point guard.  Behind Russell Westbrook on the Thunder's depth chart you'll find Kevin Ollie and Shaun Livingston.  Walker would be a huge improvement.

 

25) Atlanta Hawks- Patrick Patterson- PF (Kentucky)

 

Patterson has a nice offensive game, which would be a nice compliment to Josh Smith's overpowering defense.  He would also be a nice upgrade from aging veteran Joe Smith.

 

26) Memphis Grizzlies (from Denver)- Chris Wright- SF (Dayton)

 

Memphis will hope to land a better up-and-down athlete to replace Rudy Gay, but Wright has a nice game and a lot of versatility.  He'll be able to guard multiple positions with skills similar to Minnesota's Ryan Gomes.

 

27) Orlando Magic- Sheron Collins- PG (Kansas)

 

Collins is a similar prospect to Jameer Nelson when he came out of St. Joseph's a few years back.  He is undersized and wide, but is a great ball-handler with the ability to stretch the floor.

 

28) Boston Celtics- Gani Lawal- PF (Georgia Tech)

 

Lawal has taken a back seat to freshman Derrick Favors, but he's still putting up nice numbers, and has shown a very positive team-first attitude.  He'd be a nice addition to Boston's reserve unit.

 

29) Cleveland Cavaliers- Lance Stephenson- SG (Cincinnati)

 

Stephenson is a local prospect with a ton of athleticism and upside.  He definitely needs some seasoning, but could learn and mature a lot playing alongside LeBron James.

 

30) Memphis Grizzlies (from LA Lakers)- Alexey Shved- PG/SG (Russia)

 

Shved has good size (6'7") and solid combo guard skills.  He'll likely need at least two more years in Europe before he's ready to contribute stateside, but he's worth a shot with the third of Memphis's first-rounders.

NBA Power Rankings- December 7th

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERS

1)    LA Lakers (16-3)- (W-NOH, MIA, PHO) Last: 1

2)    Cleveland (15-5)- (W-PHO, CHI, MIL) Last: 3

3)    Boston (16-4)- (W-CHA, SAS, OKC) Last: 6

4)    Orlando (16-4)- (W-NYK, GSW) Last: 4

5)    Denver (15-5)- (W-GSW, MIA, SAS) Last: 8

6)    Atlanta (14-6)- (W-TOR, DAL; L-NYK) Last: 7

PLAYOFF POSITION

7)    Phoenix (15-6)- (W-SAC; L-NYK, CLE, LAL) Last: 2

8)    Dallas (14-7)- (W-PHI, NJN; L-MEM, ATL) Last: 5

9)    Portland (13-8)- (W-HOU; L-MIA) Last: 11

10) Miami (11-9)- (W-POR, SAC; L-DEN, LAL) Last: 12

11) Utah (11-8)- (W-MEM, IND; L-MIN) Last: 9

12) San Antonio (9-8)- (L-BOS, DEN) Last: 10

13) Houston (11-9)- (W-LAC, GSW; L-POR) Last: 13

14) Oklahoma City (10-9)- (W-PHI; L-BOS) Last: 14

SERIOUS STRUGGLES

15) Toronto (9-13)- (W-WAS, CHI; L-WAS, ATL) Last: 16

16) Sacramento (9-10)- (W-IND; L-PHO, MIA) Last: 18

17) New Orleans (8-11)- (W-MIN; L-LAL) Last: 19

18) LA Clippers (9-11)- (W-IND; L-HOU) Last: 22

19) Washington (7-12)- (W-TOR, MIL; L-TOR, DET) Last: 23

20) Charlotte (8-11)- (W-PHI; L-BOS, NJN) Last: 15

21) Milwaukee (9-10)- (W-CHI; L-WAS, DET, CLE) Last: 17

22) Chicago (7-11)- (W-DET; L-MIL, CLE, TOR) Last: 20

23) Detroit (8-12)- (W-MIL, WAS; L-CHI) Last: 25

24) Memphis (8-12)- (W-MIN, DAL; L-UTA) Last: 27

25) New York (6-15)- (W-PHO, ATL, NJN; L-ORL) Last: 28

26) Golden State (6-13)- (W-IND; L-DEN, HOU, ORL) Last: 24

27) Indiana (6-12)- (L-GSW, SAC, UTA, LAC) Last: 21

28) Philadelphia (5-15)- (L-DAL, OKC, CHA) Last: 26

29) Minnesota (3-17)- (W-UTA; L-MEM, NOH) Last: 29

30) New Jersey (1-19)- (W-CHA; L-DAL, NYK) Last: 30

Wednesday, December 2, 2009

2010 NBA Mock Draft (Version 4)

2010 NBA Draft- First Round (Order Based on my most recent power rankings)

 

1)    New Jersey Nets- John Wall- PG (Kentucky)

 

The last time I had New Jersey with the top pick, I had them opting for Derrick Favors instead.  I still think that will be a possibility because Favors is a much better fit for this franchise, but Wall's talent is too much to pass up.  Devin Harris is a good young player, who still has a lot of room to grow, but Wall has all the makings of a superstar.  He has good size (at 6'4") and tons of athleticism. Although he has been turnover prone, he has shown good ability to get his teammates involved (7.8 assists per game), while finding time for his own offense (18.5 points per game on 56% field goals and 80% free throws).  Wall has also averaged 2.5 steals and .8 blocks per game.  Refining his 3-point stroke seems to be the last frontier to superstardom for Wall, who at only 19-years old has plenty of time to work out the kinks.

 

2)    Minnesota Timberwolves- Derrick Favors- PF (Georgia Tech)

 

Minnesota badly needs a perimeter scoring option, but David Kahn showed in his first draft with the team that he'd put value and ability above team need, especially in the top five.  Favors is a freak athlete with an NBA body (6'10" and 246 lbs) and the game to match.  In five games at Georgia Tech, Favors has averaged 13.6 points, 7.8 rebounds, and 1.8 blocks per game on 72% shooting from the field.  He is still young, but learning from an NBA great like Kurt Rambis could do him a world of good, and a frontcourt rotation of Al Jefferson, Kevin Love, and Favors would make Jonny Flynn and Ricky Rubio look very, very good.

 

3)    Utah Jazz (from New York via Phoenix)- Ed Davis- PF (North Carolina)

 

Scouts are drooling over Davis's potential.  He is averaging 14 points, 9.4 rebounds, and 2.4 blocks on 70% shooting as a true sophomore and still has a lot of room to grow.  Utah will almost certainly lose Carlos Boozer this off-season and Davis would make a very nice replacement.

 

Personally, in the games that I've seen Davis play, I don't see it.  He's a solid player with good touch, but he seems generally disinterested most of the time.  He almost always trails the play up the floor, and in the final minutes of a close game against Michigan State last night, he got out-hustled for a rebound multiple times by Draymond Green.  He also looked hesitant to challenge shots and nearly threw away an inbounds pass that would have cut a tenuous six-point lead to four in the closing moments.

 

4)    Memphis Grizzlies- Willie Warren- PG (Oklahoma)

 

Warren has really been impressive in the early season for the Sooners.  After playing in the shadow of Blake Griffin last season, Warren has responded as a team leader in his sophomore season, averaging 20 points and six assists per game.  He has some troubling stats, particularly his 41.8% shooting percentage and his turnover rate (4.2 per game), but his ability to run the point has turned some heads.  The Grizzlies passed on a point guard last year, and if the signings of Allen Iverson and Jamaal Tinsley are any indication, they won't do it again this time around.

 

5)    Philadelphia 76ers- Wesley Johnson- SG (Syracuse)

 

Johnson transferred from Iowa State to Syracuse and debuted with a splash on the national scene.  He led his team to upset wins of Cal and North Carolina in the Coaches vs. Cancer Classic and has posted 18 points, seven rebounds, 2.3 steals, and 1.7 blocks per game during a 7-0 start.  Evan Turner will get a look from Philadelphia as well, but Johnson is a much more accomplished outside shooter, which makes him a better fit next to Andre Iguodala's drive-and-kick ability.

 

6)    Detroit Pistons- Cole Aldrich- C (Kansas)

 

With Rodney Stuckey, Richard Hamilton, Ben Gordon, and Will Bynum in the backcourt and two rookies backing up Tayshaun Prince at the small forward, Detroit will be one of the easiest teams to project come draft time.  Aldrich is a good fit because of his mature set of post moves and NBA readiness.  He has been steady, yet unimpressive in the first five games for the Jayhawks, averaging just less than 11 points and nine rebounds per game, but after Kansas makes a deep push in March, expect Aldrich's stock to rise significantly.

 

7)    Golden State Warriors- Evan Turner- SG (Ohio State)

 

Turner has put up eye-popping numbers trough the first six games for the Buckeyes, averaging nearly 20 points, 13 rebounds, and seven assists per contest.  He is a versatile athlete, capable of playing multiple positions, and has good ball-handling skills.  All three of those traits make him a good fit to be Golden State's small forward of the future.

 

8)    Washington Wizards- Greg Monroe- PF (Georgetown)

 

Washington had high hopes coming into this season with a re-tooled roster and a new coach, but through the first quarter of the season things look pretty much the same in D.C.  If things don't turn around, a trade may be on the horizon.  If the Wizards land in the lottery and don't make a move, picking Monroe, who played locally at Georgetown seems like a move to put fans in the seats.

 

9)    LA Clippers- Al-Farouq Aminu- SF (Wake Forest)

 

Aminu looks and plays awkwardly, leading many scouts to deem him a long-term project.  Others (like myself) believe that Aminu has a natural knack for the game, which will allow him to contribute while he learns.  So far as a sophomore, Aminu has averaged 17.7 points and 11 rebounds for Wake Forest, while improving his shooting percentages in all three categories.  He may not be NBA ready, but he has a lot of athleticism and potential, so someone would be smart to snatch him up in the top ten.

 

10) Indiana Pacers- Xavier Henry- SG (Kansas)

 

Henry made a huge splash, scoring 27 points in his first college game, and will likely be the third first-year player drafted (behind Wall and Favors) if he decides to enter his name.  He has good size (6'6" and 220 lbs) and may develop the skills to play the point guard at the next level.  Indiana needs help at both backcourt positions, so they can afford to take a bit of a gamble on Henry at #10.

 

11) Chicago Bulls- Devin Ebanks- SF (West Virginia)

 

Ebanks is a long, lengthy player with a lot of ability and upside.  He does have some questions surrounding him because of his work ethic and his absence from the Mountaineers to start the season.  He is still raw, but could mature into a very effective NBA starter.

 

12) New Orleans Hornets- Donatas Motiejunas- PF (Lithuania)

 

Motiejunas had a lot of hype before the start of the college season, but his stock has tumbled for several reasons.  First and foremost is the depth at power forward in this draft.  With players like Favors, Davis, Monroe, and Aldrich off the board, and other options (DeMarcus Cousins, Craig Brackins, Jarvis Varnado, and Gani Lawal) still available, drafting a hit-or-miss prospect like Motiejunas looks less appealing.  Additionally, all the big names are off to good starts, while Motiejunas has little chance to make noise overseas.  Another underlying factor may be the looming 2010 free agency class.  Teams looking to land a big name player will want leverage such as a big name draft pick on his way to training camp, and while Motiejunas is skilled, he isn't as big of a draw as the players drafted ahead of him.

 

With all of that said, David West is far from the All-Star that he was one or two years ago, and while I'll stop short of saying he's reached his peak, New Orleans would be smart to add a contingency plan and Motiejunas's ability to stretch the floor would leave the lane clear for Chris Paul to operate.

 

13) Sacramento Kings- Paul George- SF (Fresno State)

 

Sacramento would be thrilled to land a player of George's caliber at #13.  They have a strong foundation of young players reminiscent of the Trail Blazers of a couple of years ago, and could be a force in the Western Conference with a strong 2010 off-season.  Although he is slight of build at this point, he has prototypical small forward size (6'8") and athleticism.  He also has the ability to stretch the floor (38.5% 3-point shooting) and defend (2.2 steals).

 

14) Oklahoma City Thunder- DeMarcus Cousins- PF (Kentucky)

 

Cousins has some questions about his work ethic, but has a ton of athleticism and can really defend.  If Cousins buys in to the team concept in Oklahoma City and develops the way may anticipate, the Thunder could be a legitimate championship contender as soon as 2012.

 

15) Milwaukee Bucks- Craig Brackins- PF (Iowa State)

 

Brackins's impressive numbers from last year have come back to earth slightly, but he will still challenge for inclusion in the lottery.  He has a great face-up game, a very dangerous jump shot, and he is underrated defensively (1.3 steals and 1.7 blocks per game).

 

16) Miami Heat (from Toronto)- Jarvis Varnado- PF/C (Mississippi State)

 

Miami will hope to land a big name free agent to play alongside Dwyane Wade this summer, but no one in the class will have a bigger defensive impact than Varnado.  The Mississippi State senior is averaging 5.5 blocks per game, along with career highs in points (14.5) and rebounds (10).

 

17) Minnesota Timberwolves (from Charlotte via Denver)- James Anderson- SG (Oklahoma State)

 

Anderson's skills bare a striking resemblance to those of 2009 first-rounder Wayne Ellington, but Minnesota needs a lot of help on the perimeter and adding another deadly outside shooter couldn't hurt.  Anderson is averaging 22.8 points and 7.7 rebounds per game while shooting over 50% from the field.

 

18) Houston Rockets- Solomon Alabi- C (Florida State)

 

Whether Alabi is a replacement for Yao Ming or simply a fill-in to keep him healthy, Houston could use his skills.  Alabi has a huge 7'1" frame and not unlike Yao, is remarkably skilled at the free throw stripe, shooting an even 95% this season.

 

19) Miami Heat- Terrico White- SG (Mississippi)

 

Quite frankly, White is the best player on the board at #19.  He is off to a sub-par start to his sophomore season, but is still averaging 17 points per game for 5-1 Mississippi.

 

20) Portland Trail Blazers- Quincy Pondexter- SF (Washington)

 

Pondexter is a local product from The University of Washington and is steadily rising on draft boards because of an unbelievable start to the season.  Through five games, Pondexter is averaging 20.6 points and 11 rebounds on 54% shooting from the field and 89% shooting from the line.  He may not be the answer at small forward for the Blazers, but he'll certainly make a nice addition to their wing rotation.

 

21) San Antonio Spurs- Luke Babbit- SF (Nevada)

 

Babbit doesn't have the athleticism or flash of Richard Jefferson, but he's a smart player with good instincts and he's very coachable.  He seems like the type of player that could thrive under Greg Popovich.

 

22) Minnesota Timberwolves (from Utah)- Chris Wright- SF (Dayton)

 

Wright is a versatile athlete in the Ryan Gomes mold who could fit nicely into Minnesota's rotation down the line.

 

23) Memphis Grizzlies (from Denver)- Jan Vesely- PF (Czech Republic)

 

Memphis has had a plethora of picks in the last few drafts and has young players at almost every position.  They make try to package this pick with their other late first rounder to move up and grab a player ready to contribute, but if not, they'll grab Vesely, who has good size and the ability to play up to three positions.

 

24) Atlanta Hawks- Patrick Patterson- PF (Kentucky)

 

Patterson is a great value at #24 and has arguably the best offensive skill set of any big man on the Hawks' roster from day one. 

 

25) Boston Celtics- Jerome Jordan- C (Tulsa)

 

Jordan has quietly put up very solid numbers at Tulsa this season and is the legit 7-footer the Boston could use when Rasheed Wallace retires.  He is averaging 16 points, 8.7 rebounds, and 3.2 blocks through six games.

 

26) New Jersey Nets (from Dallas)- Gani Lawal- PF (Georgia Tech)

 

After passing on Favors at #1, the Nets land the other Georgia Tech power forward at #26.  Lawal has less upside than Favors, but has put up similar numbers at this point of the season.

 

27) Orlando Magic- Kemba Walker- PG (Connecticut)

 

Orlando is perhaps the deepest team in the league, but turning to Jason Williams at point guard has to be a cause for concern, and considering that Jameer Nelson has sustained serious injuries in back-to-back seasons, it may be time to add a promising backup. After Wall and Warren, this draft is very thin at point guard, so the choice should be between Walker and Sheron Collins here.  While neither have abundant size, Walker is lightning quick and has good upside.

 

28) Cleveland Cavaliers- Larry Sanders- C (Virginia Commonwealth)

 

Cleveland has the oldest center rotation in recent memory and could really use a youthful defensive presence on the inside.  Jordan would have been a perfect fit, but Sanders will do nicely, as well.

 

29) Oklahoma City Thunder (from Phoenix)- Arnett Moultrie- PF (Texas-El Paso)

 

The Thunder take a page out of Minnesota and Chicago's book from the 2009 draft and draft the same position back-to-back with Moultrie at #29 following Cousins at #14.  Moultrie has far less upside, but will be ready to contribute from day one and be a steadying force defensively for a frontcourt rotation that currently boasts such names as Etan Thomas, Nick Collison, and D.J. White.

 

30) Memphis Grizzlies (from LA Lakers)- Damion James- SF (Texas)

 

James is a versatile hybrid forward who is currently averaging 15.4 points and 10.2 rebounds for 5-0 Texas.  He'll likely land somewhere in the late first round, and if Memphis keep all three of their first rounders, they'd be wise to grab him.

Tuesday, December 1, 2009

NBA Power Rankings- November 30th

CHAMPIONSHIP CONTENDERS

1)    LA Lakers (13-3)- (W-NYK, GSW, NJN) Last: 1

2)    Phoenix (14-3)- (W-MEM, MIN, TOR) Last: 2

3)    Cleveland (12-5)- (W-DET, DAL; L-CHA) Last: 4

4)    Orlando (14-4)- (W-ATL, MIL, NYK; L-MIA) Last: 5

5)    Dallas (12-5)- (W- HOU, IND; L-GSW, CLE) Last: 3

6)    Boston (13-4)- (W-PHI, TOR, MIA) Last: 6

7)    Atlanta (12-5)- (W-PHI; L-ORL, DET) Last: 7

PLAYOFF POSITION

8)    Denver (12-5)- (W-NJN, MIN, NYK; L-MIN) Last: 8

9)    Utah (9-7)- (W-CHI, POR; L-OKC) Last: 13

10) San Antonio (9-6)- (W-MIL, GSW, HOU, PHI) Last: 17

11) Portland (12-7)- (W-CHI, NJN; L-MEM, UTA) Last: 10

12) Miami (9-7)- (W-ORL; L-WAS, BOS) Last: 9

13) Houston (9-8)- (W-OKC; L-DAL, SAS) Last: 11

14) Oklahoma City (9-8)- (W- UTA, MIL; L-HOU) Last: 14

15) Charlotte (7-9)- (W-TOR, CLE, WAS) Last: 24

16) Toronto (7-11)- (W-IND; L-CHA, BOS, PHO) Last: 15

17) Milwaukee (8-7)- (L-SAS, NOH, OKC, ORL) Last: 12

LOTTERY BOUND

18) Sacramento (8-8)- (W-NYK, NJN, NOH; L-MEM) Last: 20

19) New Orleans (7-10)- (W-MIL; L-SAC) Last: 18

20) Chicago (6-8)- (L-POR, UTA) Last: 16

21) Indiana (6-8)- (W- LAC; L-TOR, DAL) Last: 19

22) LA Clippers (8-10)- (W-MIN, DET, MEM; L-IND) Last: 27

23) Washington (5-10)- (W-PHI, MIA; L-CHA) Last: 23

24) Golden State (5-10)- (W-DAL; L-SAS, LAL) Last: 26

25) Detroit (6-11)- (W-ATL; L-CLE, LAC) Last: 21

26) Philadelphia (5-12)- (L-WAS, BOS, ATL, SAS) Last: 22

27) Memphis (6-11)- (W-SAC, POR; L-PHO, LAC) Last: 25

28) New York (3-14)- (L-LAL, SAC, DEN, ORL) Last: 28

29) Minnesota (2-15)- (W-DEN; L-LAC, DEN, PHO) Last: 30

30) New Jersey (0-17)- (L-DEN, POR, SAC, LAL) Last: 29