Wednesday, May 25, 2011

2011 NBA Mock Draft v13

1) Cleveland Cavaliers (from LAC)- Kyrie Irving- G (Duke)
2) Minnesota Timberwolves- Derrick Williams- F (Arizona)
3) Utah Jazz (from NJN)- Brandon Knight- G (Kentucky)
4) Cleveland Cavaliers- Enes Kanter- C (Turkey)
5) Toronto Raptors- Jan Vesely- F (Czech Republic)
6) Washington Wizards- Tristan Thompson- F (Texas)
7) Sacramento Kings- Kemba Walker- G (Connecticut)
8) Detroit Pistons- Bismack Boyombo- F/C (Congo)
9) Charlotte Bobcats- Alec Burks- G (Colorado)
10)Milwaukee Bucks- Kawhi Leonard- F (San Diego State)
11)Golden State Warriors- Donatas Motiejunas- F (Lithuania)
12)Utah Jazz- Chris Singleton- F (Florida State)
13)Phoenix Suns- Marcus Morris- F (Kansas)
14)Houston Rockets- Jordan Hamilton- G/F (Texas)
15)Indiana Pacers- Markieff Morris- F (Kansas)
16)Philadelphia 76ers- Jimmer Fredette- G (BYU)
17)New York Knicks- Kenneth Faried- F (Morehead State)
18)Washington Wizards (from ATL)- Justin Harper- F (Richmond)
19)Memphis Grizzlies (from NOH)- Nikola Vucevic- C (Southern Cal)
20)Minnesota Timberwolves (from MEM)- Klay Thompson- G (Washington State)
21)Portland Trail Blazers- Tyler Honeycutt- G/F (UCLA)
22)Denver Nuggets- Lucas Noguiera- C (Brazil)
23)Houston Rockets (from ORL via PHO)- Reggie Jackson- G (Boston College)
24)Oklahoma City Thunder- Darius Morris- G (Michigan)
25)Boston Celtics- Davis Bertans- F (Latvia)
26)Dallas Mavericks- Marshon Brooks- G (Providence)
27)New Jersey Nets- Tobias Harris- F (Tennessee)
28)Chicago Bulls (from MIA via TOR)- Josh Selby- G (Kansas)
29)San Antonio Spurs- Nolan Smith- G (Duke)
30)Chicago Bulls- Jordan Williams- F/C (Maryland)

Second Round Guys (In no particular order): Nikola Mirotic- F (Montenegro), Malcolm Thomas- F (SDSU), Jeremy Tyler- F (USA), Keith Benson- F/C (Oakland), Chandler Parsons- G/F (Florida), Trey Thompkins- F (Georgia), Travis Leslie- G/F (Georgia), David Lighty- G/F (Ohio State), Kyle Singler- F (Duke), Corey Joseph- G (Texas), Isaiah Thomas- G (Washington), Charles Jenkins- G (Hofstra), Demetri McCamey- G (Illinois), Shelvin Mack- G (Butler), Michael Dunigan- C (Oregon), DeAndre Liggins- G/F (Kentucky), Bojan Bogdanovic- F (Bosnia & Herzegovina), JaJuan Johnson- F (Purdue), Malcolm Lee- G (UCLA), Iman Shumpert- G (Georgia Tech), Jerome Richmond- F (Illinois), John Diebler- G (Ohio State), Jon Leuer- F (Wisconsin), Vernon Macklin- F (Florida), Matthew Bryan-Amaning- F (Washington), Xavi Rabaseda- G/F (Spain), Norris Cole- G (Cleveland State), Greg Smith- F (Fresno State), Jimmy Butler- F (Marquette), LaceDarius Dunn- G (Baylor)

Tuesday, May 17, 2011

2011 NBA Mock Draft (v12)

  1. Cleveland Cavaliers (from LAC)- Kyrie Irving- PG (Duke)

  2. Minnesota Timberwolves- Derrick Williams- SF (Arizona)

  3. Utah Jazz (from NJN)- Enes Kanter- PF (Turkey)

  4. Cleveland Cavaliers- Kawhi Leonard- SF (San Diego State)

  5. Toronto Raptors- Jonas Valanciunas- C (Lithuania)

  6. Washington Wizards- Jan Vesely- SF (Czech Republic)

  7. Sacramento Kings- Brandon Knight- PG (Kentucky)

  8. Detroit Pistons- Kemba Walker- PG (Connecticut)

  9. Charlotte Bobcats- Bismack Boyombo- PF (Congo)

  10. Milwaukee Bucks- Marcus Morris- PF (Kansas)

  11. Golden State Warriors- Tristan Thompson- PF (Texas)

  12. Utah Jazz- Jimmer Fredette- PG (BYU)

  13. Phoenix Suns- Alec Burks- SG (Colorado)

  14. Houston Rockets- Donatas Motiejunas- PF (Lithuania)

  15. Indiana Pacers- Markieff Morris- PF (Kansas)

  16. Philadelphia 76ers- Jordan Hamilton- SG/SF (Texas)

  17. New York Knicks- Justin Harper- PF (Richmond)

  18. Washington Wizards (from ATL)- Kenneth Faried- PF (Morehead State)

  19. Charlotte Bobcats (from NOH)- Reggie Jackson- PG (Boston College)

  20. Minnesota Timberwolves (from MEM)- Chris Singelton- SF (Florida State)

  21. Portland Trail Blazers- Lucas Noguiera- C (Brazil)

  22. Denver Nuggets- Tyler Honeycutt- SG/SF (UCLA)

  23. Houston Rockets (from ORL via PHO)- Nolan Smith- PG (Duke)

  24. Oklahoma City Thunder- Darius Morris- PG (Michigan)

  25. Boston Celtics- Trey Thompkins- PF (Georgia)

  26. Dallas Mavericks- Klay Thompson- SG (Washington State)

  27. New Jersey Nets (from LAL)- Kyle Singler- SF (Duke)

  28. Chicago Bulls (from MIA via TOR)- Josh Selby- SG (Kansas)

  29. San Antonio Spurs- Shelvin Mack- PG (Butler)

  30. Chicago Bulls- Nikola Mirotic- PF (Montenegro)

Official NBA Lottery Prediction

1st Pick: Combination: {4,11,12,14}- Team: 5 (Sacramento)
2nd Pick: Combination: {2,6,9,13}- Team: 2 (Cleveland)
3rd Pick: Combination: {5,12,13,14}- Team: 6 (Utah from NJN)

So the lottery order is:
1) Sacramento Kings
2) Cleveland Cavaliers
3) Utah Jazz (from NJN)
4) Minnesota Timberwolves
5) Toronto Raptors
6) Washington Wizards
7) Detroit Pistons
8) Cleveland Cavaliers (from LAC)
9) Charlotte Bobcats
10) Milwaukee Bucks
11) Golden State Warriors
12) Utah Jazz
13) Phoenix Suns
14) Houston Rockets

NBA Lottery Explained

Each season the NBA holds a lottery to determine the order of the first 14 picks of its draft. The lottery is held in mid-May, 5 weeks before the resulting NBA Draft. The lottery process works as follows:
Each of the 14 teams in the lottery receives a ball corresponding to their default position based on their regular season record. For instance, the Minnesota Timberwolves, who achieved the league's worst record (17-65) are represented by ball #1, the Cleveland Cavaliers, the league's second worst team (19-63) are represented by ball #2 and so on.
Four balls are chosen at random with the order disregarded. This process results in 1,001 combinations. For simplicities' sake, one combination (11, 12, 13, 14) is disregarded, leaving 1,000 combinations. (It should be noted that 11, 12, 13, 14 has never been pulled.) For organizational purposes, consider the combinations where the four chosen balls are sorted from smallest to largest. In other words, if the four choices go 4, 9, 2, 12, the result is (2, 4, 9, 12).
Again, depending on their regular season records, teams are given a prescribed chance of winning the lottery. When two teams have the same record, they combine the number of combinations the two teams receive and then share them equally. In this year's lottery, there was only one tie- between Sacramento and New Jersey (who's pick goes to Utah in the Deron Williams trade). Instead of the 5th team getting an 8.8% chance and the 6th place team getting a 6.3% chance, they two teams each get a 7.5% chance, and a coin flip determines which team gets the remaining .1%. This year, Sacramento won the coin toss, so they'll receive 7.6% to Utah's 7.5%. These probabilities are shown below:

Using these probabilities, the league assigns the 1,000 possible combinations to the teams. Minnesota gets the first 250 combinations, then Cleveland gets the next 199, then Toronto gets the next 156, and so on until Houston gets the final 5 combinations. The combinations are shown below:

Four balls are chosen and the resulting combination determines the first pick. Then the balls are replaced and the process is completed to determine the second pick. The balls are replaced again and the process is completed a third time to determine the third pick. The remaining 11 picks are determined by the reverse order of finish (the default order shown above).
To run your own mock lottery, simply go to, then enter 5, 4, 1, 14, Yes, Yes: Least to Greatest, Place Markers Off. This will give you 5 sets of 4 numbers from 1-14, which are sorted from least to greatest. If two of your first three sets correspond to the same team, disregard the repeat and use the fourth set. If it happens again, disregard the repeat and use the fifth set, and so on.
Good luck, have fun, and be sure to watch the 2011 NBA Draft Lottery at 8:30 ET on ESPN.

Tuesday, May 3, 2011

2011 NBA Mock Draft (Lottery v1)

This is the first version of the 2011 Court Visionaries' Mock Lottery. This season, the site will complete the lottery as it is conducted by the NBA. Four balls are chosen from the lottery set 1-14, and the resulting combination determines the winner of the lottery. This process is completed two more times to determine the other two lottery winners, and the remaining 11 teams are chosen by the reverse order of their regular season finish.

In the first version of the Mock Lottery, the three chosen teams were #2, #6, and #1, respectively, which resulted in the following draft order:

1) Cleveland Cavaliers- Kyrie Irving- PG (Duke)
2) Sacramento Kings- Derrick Williams- SF (Arizona)
3) Minnesota Timberwolves- Enes Kanter- C (Turkey)
4) Toronto Raptors- Terrence Jones- SF (Kentucky)
5) Washington Wizards- Jonas Valanciunas- C (Lithuania)
6) Utah Jazz (from NJN)- Jan Vesely- SF (Czech Republic)
7) Detroit Pistons- Kemba Walker- PG (Connecticut)
8) Cleveland Cavaliers (from LAC)- Bismack Boyombo- F (Congo)
9) Charlotte Bobcats- Brandon Knight- PG (Kentucky)
10) Milwaukee Bucks- Marcus Morris- PF (Kansas)
11) Golden State Warriors- Donatas Motiejunas- PF (Lithuania)
12) Utah Jazz- Jimmer Fredette- PG (BYU)
13) Phoenix Suns- Kawhi Leonard- SF (San Diego State)
14) Houston Rockets- Jordan Hamilton- SG/SF (Texas)
15) Indiana Pacers- Markieff Morris- PF (Kentucky)
16) Philadelphia 76ers- Alec Burks- SG (Colorado)
17) New York Knicks- Tristan Thompson- PF (Texas)
18) Washington Wizards (from ATL)- Chris Singleton- SF (Florida State)
19) Charlotte Bobcats (from NOH)- Tyler Honeycutt- SG (UCLA)
20) Minnesota Timberwolves (from MEM)- Klay Thompson- SG (Washington State)
21) Portland Trail Blazers- Kenneth Faried- PF (Morehead State)
22) Denver Nuggets- Lucas Noguiera- C (Brazil)
23) Houston Rockets (from ORL via PHO)- Justin Harper- PF (Richmond)
24) Oklahoma City Thunder- Nolan Smith- PG (Duke)
25) Boston Celtics- Trey Thompkins- PF (Georgia)
26) Dallas Mavericks- Kyle Singler- SF (Duke)
27) New Jersey Nets (from LAL)- Travis Leslie- SG (Georgia)
28) Chicago Bulls (from MIA via TOR)- Josh Selby- SG (Kansas)
29) San Antonio Spurs- JuJuan Johnson- PF (Purdue)
30) Chicago Bulls- Keith Benson- C (Oakland)